Polymarket Trader

teawaterwire

0xabfc253cda5cbca7f129a06ece4e3624f517039c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.18
Realized PnL: $225.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 4?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.87
Potential profit: $45.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.17
Potential profit: $19.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.03
Potential profit: $16.03
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.86
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

150k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39
Potential profit: $4.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.27

Croatia position

World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia

Ends Dec 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.59

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

No position

Will France win Group D?

Ends Jun 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will Germany qualify from Group E?

Ends Dec 6, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1210219.31x
User PnL: $11.08

Spain position

Spain vs. France - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

$ARB above $1 one week after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

No position

Will Dharma’s Phase 1 Retroactive UNI Distribution proposal pass?

Ends Oct 31, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020?

Ends Dec 2, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Long position

What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020?

Ends Nov 4, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will France win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will the price of $ETH be above $1700 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Democratic position

Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Democratic position

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Yes 5.2% 96.15 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

No 10% 10 shares
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4.4% 22.73 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 5.2% 19.17 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 22% 9.09 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

No 22% 22.73 shares