No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Polymarket Trader
Chenai864
0xac0f2a1c10ed7809819f52f4f1705ba1d451b3de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $120K on August 16 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 89% 34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.2% 38 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 96% 34 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 91% 32 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 80% 37 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 88.8% 16.46 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89% 36 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 50% 60 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 80.9% 38 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.9% 94 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 96.1% 31 shares