Polymarket Trader

RT-Portfolio

0xac116fa0dd9ee9b9a48313ee28034ed904169d3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $739.34
Realized PnL: $18.11K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $70K
User PnL: -$9.43K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $370.5
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $12.63K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$105.74

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$351.71

Australia position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$660

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Japan leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$220

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$245

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $368.84
Potential payout: $412.11
Potential profit: $43.27
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$8.37

Sweden position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$161.85

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Megaquake before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.99

Yes position

Megaquake in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900.72

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.5

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.84

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.59

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.83

No position

Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

Yes position

Trump x Xi talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.69

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.6

Yes position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Japan leading at halftime?

Yes 22% 912.56 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 1,000 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ecuador 72% 1,316.3 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 93.8% 176 shares
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

No 62% 500 shares
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Sweden 54% 300 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Under 23% 50 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 28% 1,288 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

Australia 66% 500 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

Australia 66% 500 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 29% 200 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Over 25% 100 shares