Polymarket Trader

0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048

0xac382928a693c9c342c92fed3552e260aacfc565

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $655.59
Realized PnL: $135.41
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $12.73
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.62K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$296.59

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $507.81
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $130.24

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$140.01

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $19.74
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$111.33

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$54.81

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $904.61
Potential profit: $901.44
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$84.52

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $869.32
Potential profit: $868.02
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$125.63

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $63.63
Potential payout: $424.18
Potential profit: $360.55
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$16.64

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $11.66
Potential payout: $382.17
Potential profit: $370.51
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$16.86

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.45
Potential profit: $316.45
User PnL: -$145

Yes position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.98
Potential profit: $155.98
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $119
Potential profit: $99.37
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.58
Potential payout: $47.7
Potential profit: $44.12
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $34.61
Potential profit: $30.46
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$5.85

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$3.92

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.14

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.88

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

No position

Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 1% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.82

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.1% 339 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Yes 18% 265.92 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Yes 21.3% 136.44 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 57% 163.94 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Yes 18% 9.34 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 10% 429.24 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Yes 13.3% 138.2 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 35% 92.58 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Yes 12% 73.2 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Yes 11% 500 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 29.4% 138 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Yes 11% 265.77 shares