No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.01K
- Potential profit
- $7.01K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
idontknowa
0xac3cfe71a58620d653c6cab63ace0d1062d9b038
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.72
- Realized PnL
- $51.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $58.82
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.43
- Potential profit
- $45.43
- User PnL
- -$16.21
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43.48
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.29
- Potential profit
- $34.29
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.12
- Potential profit
- $30.12
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.36
- Potential profit
- $28.36
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.5
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.26
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $21.83
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.91
- Potential payout
- $19.91
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.71
- Potential payout
- $17.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.62
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.07
- Potential profit
- $8.07
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- User PnL
- -$3.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $3.88
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown 99.9% 70.07 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.6% 21.83 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 85% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown 97% 2.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown 78% 1.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown 81% 1.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 93% 10.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 93% 10.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 94% 10.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 97% 10.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown 95% 105.3 shares