Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $512.55
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $30.15
Polymarket Trader
Polocap
0xac42c7605f3133861af8edd858d8d223c9bf60d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $430
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$159.79
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $636.89
- Potential profit
- $636.89
- User PnL
- -$455.85
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511.19
- Potential profit
- $511.19
- User PnL
- -$13.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $300.01
- User PnL
- -$273.61
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$88
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $199.97
- Potential profit
- $199.47
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$127.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$35.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.55
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$18.13
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $29.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Starmer out by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.51
- Potential profit
- $40.51
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Over position
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Over position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.96
- Potential profit
- $11.96
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Arneb position
Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Arneb (+1.5)
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Team WE position
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.95
Bushido Wildcats position
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.99
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.05
Spirit position
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.11
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.66
Dplus KIA position
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.55
DN SOOPers position
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.24
G2 Esports position
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.08
ThunderTalk Gaming position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.4
GIANTX position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492
devils.one position
Game Handicap: DV1 (-1.5) vs GLORE (+1.5)
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.13
G2 Esports position
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.48
MIBR position
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.89
DRX position
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.4
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.25
Isurus position
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.12
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $260.54
Fnatic position
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $232.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 80% 929.26 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.6% 191.19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 6% 3,600.02 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.7% 906.91 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 88% 2,500 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes 12% 100 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes 13% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 8% 892 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 86% 900 shares