Polymarket Trader

0xAC484CE9F547C1eBcDBE9A7669D2FCeEe23f2052-1776874823890

0xac484ce9f547c1ebcdbe9a7669d2fceee23f2052

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.72
Realized PnL: $61.53
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the match not air?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.92
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.71
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.1%
Multiplier: 2.49x
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Up 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Down 83% 6.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Down 83% 5.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Down 83% 6.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Down 83% 6.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 66% 17.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 57% 8.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 57% 8.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Down 35% 14.29 shares