Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$292.67
Polymarket Trader
HerrieDavis
0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.45K
- Realized PnL
- $300.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $11.56K
- Potential payout
- $15.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.85K
- Potential profit
- $14.85K
- User PnL
- -$265.81
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.81K
- Potential profit
- $14.81K
- User PnL
- -$880.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $210.83
- Potential payout
- $14.54K
- Potential profit
- $14.33K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $99.45
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $14.44K
- Potential profit
- $13.12K
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $123.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.43K
- Potential profit
- $14.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.32K
- Potential profit
- $13.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.19K
- Potential profit
- $13.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.81K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $10.86K
- Potential payout
- $12.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $376.28
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $501.89
- Potential payout
- $12.09K
- Potential profit
- $11.59K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $207.84
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $11.82K
- User PnL
- -$436.6
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$545.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.83K
- Potential profit
- $10.83K
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.8K
- Potential profit
- $10.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Yes position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $786.45
- Potential payout
- $10.49K
- Potential profit
- $9.7K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$365.74
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.39K
- Potential profit
- $10.39K
- User PnL
- -$24.62
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $10.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.09K
- Potential profit
- $10.09K
- User PnL
- -$258.53
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- User PnL
- -$55.05
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.74K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $8.42K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $39.4K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $15.36K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $14.99K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $13.47K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $11.2K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.85K
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84K
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $8.28K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $7.36K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $6.45K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $5.98K
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $5.77K
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.64K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.47K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.28K
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- $4.83K
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.47K
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $4.24K
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13K
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.20x
- User PnL
- $3.89K
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.26x
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 17.1% 36.78 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 81.5% 7.8 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.1% 500 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 68% 0.96 shares
- Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 13% 5 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 3% 48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 7.5% 11 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No 1.4% 51 shares
- Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes 1.7% 4.79 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 81.5% 12.2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.2% 22.5 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.5% 31.7 shares