No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $317.39
- Potential payout
- $335.86
- Potential profit
- $18.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $17.39
Polymarket Trader
oiram18
0xac4b9485698359e36d02ae5461cefbf998e6ac55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $673.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $174.19
- Potential payout
- $241.94
- Potential profit
- $67.74
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $24.19
No position
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.99
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Paris heat wave by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $68.5
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.76
No position
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.38
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.33
No position
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.02
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.66
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.41
No position
Crimean bridge hit before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.34
No position
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.61
No position
Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will Trump unfreeze Harvard funding?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.42
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
No position
Modi out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
No position
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.67
No position
Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Another 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.35
No position
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Uniondale rally?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New pandemic in 2026?No 88% 113.64 shares
- United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?No 98% 172.39 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing 92% 13.03 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 90% 222.22 shares
- FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?No 78% 128.79 shares
- FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?No 37.6% 124.65 shares
- United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?No 86.4% 171.22 shares
- Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?Yes 8.5% 150 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes 94.4% 10 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 62% 241.94 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?No 94% 119.04 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes 81.5% 184.05 shares