Polymarket Trader

bdc12

0xac576ec61a0cab7cdda46f4d6f7cbf43753065cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.86K
Realized PnL: $768.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $200.61
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$35.16

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $110.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $129.5

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $0.51
User PnL: $29.92

Yes position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $697.16
Potential payout: $700.32
Potential profit: $3.15
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $535.49
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $164.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.6%
Current value: $483
Potential payout: $558.06
Potential profit: $75.06
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$20.54

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $442.87
Potential payout: $530.38
Potential profit: $87.51
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $363.64
Potential payout: $365.29
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $318.96
Potential payout: $320.4
Potential profit: $1.44
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $255.71
Potential payout: $256.6
Potential profit: $0.9
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $207.61
Potential payout: $209.07
Potential profit: $1.46
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $167
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $141.52
Potential payout: $197.93
Potential profit: $56.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $132.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $17.25
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.7%
Current value: $25.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $74.35
Multiplier: 3.90x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $86.02
Potential payout: $86.06
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: -$22.72

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.06

Yes position

Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.26

Yes position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.73

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $45.82

Yes position

Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.41

Yes position

Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.21

Yes position

Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Yes position

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

No position

Will Adele perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.09

Yes position

Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.04

Yes position

Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.97

Yes position

Will "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.12

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.41

Yes position

Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

No position

Will U2 perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.97

Yes position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $19.78

Yes position

Will "180" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Yes position

Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 200 shares
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Yes 99% 14.13 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 99% 30.3 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 99% 30.3 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 99% 30.3 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 97% 30.93 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 97% 30.93 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 97% 30.93 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 97% 30.93 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 98% 30.61 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 98% 30.61 shares
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 97% 11.58 shares