Polymarket Trader

ChiefRiz

0xac630afe7d7878193676cdef46ea09150421e038

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.84
Realized PnL: $43.18
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $24.69
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $24.94
Potential profit: $21.82
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $22.56
Potential profit: $19.4
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.56
Potential profit: $19.56
User PnL: -$5.28

Under position

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.79
Potential profit: $18.79
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.79
Potential profit: $18.79
User PnL: -$4.51

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.78
Potential profit: $17.78
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $16.69
Potential profit: $12.44
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.36
Potential profit: $16.36
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $16.16
Potential profit: $13.01
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.89

Under position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.61
Potential profit: $14.61
User PnL: -$4.09

Over position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.44
Potential profit: $13.44
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.41
Potential profit: $13.41
User PnL: -$2.95

Under position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.69
Potential profit: $11.69
User PnL: -$4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.13
Potential profit: $11.13
User PnL: -$4.34

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $9.64
Potential profit: $8.34
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.02
Potential profit: $8.07
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $8.83
User PnL: -$5.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.67
Potential profit: $7.67
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $6.75
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $6.69
Potential profit: $2.71
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Leroy Sané: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $6.29
User PnL: -$5.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

No 68.9% 5.45 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 39% 7.28 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 22% 13.41 shares
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Yes 44% 6.66 shares
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Yes 48.5% 6.66 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 6.69 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

No 73% 5.45 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 80% 5 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 44% 9.09 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 32% 13.44 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 37.85 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 29 2026?

No 69% 5.64 shares