Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $598.12
- Potential payout
- $12.33K
- Potential profit
- $11.73K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Polymarket Trader
kams.eyes
0xac84df77a7e859d855b0d77aa5dad1056aa53430
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $663.47
- Realized PnL
- $798.25
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $879.3
- Potential profit
- $879.3
- User PnL
- -$370
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.81
- Potential profit
- $523.81
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.47
- Potential payout
- $452.59
- Potential profit
- $414.12
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$191.53
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26.88
- Potential payout
- $413.57
- Potential profit
- $386.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$123.12
No position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $74.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.86
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.93
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.15
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $7.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.73
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No 67% 74.63 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.8% 74.62 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 67% 74.63 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 16.2% 617.28 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 1.6% 312.5 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 2% 250 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5% 760 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 9.9% 505.76 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 5.1% 980.39 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 18.9% 2,113.46 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 32.1% 155.56 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 18.4% 271.74 shares