No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $53.34
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $786.66
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Polymarket Trader
Mo4O11
@GeniusSvetov
0xac882c9079284dfe50606edebde8720f052b33f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $249.01
- Realized PnL
- -$201.63
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.07
- Potential profit
- $499.07
- User PnL
- -$2.83
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $230
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $106.16
- Potential profit
- $101.49
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$32.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.34
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.18
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.29
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$107.3
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$123.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?Yes 35% 80 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 3.9% 0.01 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.1% 1,500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 17% 33.73 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 6% 169.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 89% 90.31 shares