Polymarket Trader

GreyWall

0xac8d03b80fc445f72e80a4be98c4c1fdeea34ebf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.13
Realized PnL: $206.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.99
Potential profit: $724.99
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143
Potential profit: $143
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$5.04

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.98
Potential profit: $40.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $22.62
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

No position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Assad leaves Syria before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

No position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

Yes position

Trudeau out in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Ends Sep 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will Kamala say "abortion ban" during Univision town hall on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 26% 42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 28% 42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 12% 42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 14% 36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Yes 1.9% 134.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Yes 9% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Yes 0.6% 390.29 shares