Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $568.85
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Polymarket Trader
0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633
@lijie28
0xac8fcd246ffbd0b44a4b674a761ebcb3da243bc4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.5
- Realized PnL
- $196.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $501.87
- Potential profit
- $500.62
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $429
- Potential profit
- $426.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $343
- Potential profit
- $341.46
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $330.84
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $329.84
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $318.48
- Potential profit
- $313.07
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $310.28
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $308.26
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.1
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $284
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $279.44
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $252.34
- Potential profit
- $251.58
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $248.12
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $247.61
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $202
- Potential profit
- $200.08
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $200.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.6
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.9
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $196.78
- Potential profit
- $194.71
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $189.15
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $181
- Potential profit
- $178.01
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $181
- Potential profit
- $179.82
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.11
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.36
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $8.94
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Ninjas in Pyjamas position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $3.54
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
JD Gaming position
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes 1.4% 6.62 shares
- Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 1.5% 7.1 shares
- Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 2% 47.19 shares
- Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 1.5% 15.1 shares
- Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Yes 2% 52.32 shares
- Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes 1.9% 108.68 shares
- Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes 1.7% 176 shares
- Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes 1.6% 63.6 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 166 shares
- Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 2% 115.19 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?Yes 2.1% 77.31 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 200 shares