No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$54.95
Polymarket Trader
BTCisMYlove
@BaleYoba
0xac907f33498dc8a1617d0e7a9d3f7d91debe5d06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.58K
- Realized PnL
- $22.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 32
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $13.66K
- Potential payout
- $28.75K
- Potential profit
- $15.09K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.08K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$526.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$911.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $63.97
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$336.03
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $14.27
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $652.4
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $87.48
- Potential payout
- $603.32
- Potential profit
- $515.83
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$12.52
Yes position
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $77.35
- Potential payout
- $595
- Potential profit
- $517.65
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$234.65
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $115.1
- Potential payout
- $588.75
- Potential profit
- $473.65
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $26.07
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $254.55
- Potential payout
- $535.89
- Potential profit
- $281.34
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$85.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $65.76
- Potential payout
- $268.42
- Potential profit
- $202.66
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$34.24
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.36
- Potential profit
- $225.36
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$134.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $132.14
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $85.78
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.03
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.5
- Potential profit
- $75.5
- User PnL
- -$13.59
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $25.92
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $7.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Y
Yes position
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $15.54
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $1.65
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $933.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.19
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $659.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.84
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.63
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.23
Yes position
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.7
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $410.24
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.57
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.55
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.19
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $360
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.48
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $320
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.13
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.03
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.02
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.63
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 1AM ET
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.06
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $190.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $167.74
No position
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.89
Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 18, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.92
Up position
Solana Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.8
Yes position
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.14
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.67
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8AM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.68
Up position
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.56
Up position
XRP Up or Down - October 15, 3AM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.76
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.89
Down position
Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6AM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.09
Down position
Solana Up or Down - October 14, 2PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.28
Down position
Solana Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 84% 15.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56.2% 8,010.33 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 3.39 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15% 569.8 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.9% 612.58 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 36% 527.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 95.5% 206.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 59.8% 66.88 shares