Polymarket Trader

agggr

0xac92f07ce8848235f02a09f2624ed2116fab9d64

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.33K
Realized PnL: $255.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$8K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.4K
Potential profit: $34.4K
User PnL: -$7.03K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $19.13K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $5.88K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $22.32K
Potential payout: $24.67K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.23K
Potential payout: $17.51K
Potential profit: $14.28K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $271.45

No position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $15.56K
Potential payout: $16.29K
Potential profit: $732.96
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $845.8

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$4.11K

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.89K
Potential profit: $11.89K
User PnL: -$5.94K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.43K
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $990.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $990.03

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.17K
Potential payout: $10.15K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$50.73

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.42K
Potential profit: $8.42K
User PnL: -$589.31

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $8.25K
Potential profit: $7.22K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $160.89

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06K
Potential profit: $8.06K
User PnL: -$1.85K

Nuggets position

Thunder vs. Nuggets

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $23.56
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $5.21K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$395.32

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.41K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $198.79
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.37K

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $236.21
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.49K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$680

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$2.57K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$2.27K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$414.65

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$2.24K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.09K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.55K

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.59K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.01K

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.56K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.73K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7K

Yes position

Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33K

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87K

No position

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.87K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Democratic position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.05K

England position

Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 8,250.94 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 17,512.67 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 50% 11,886.44 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Diego Lopes 58% 5,595.69 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 23% 8,061.27 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 48.1% 5,000 shares
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 8% 5,236.04 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 32% 4,724.18 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 4,908.31 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 10,145.63 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 80% 24,999.99 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Yes 91.5% 2,443.84 shares