Polymarket Trader

keoen

0xac990f444a5d016a6296227c8e4deefc9b841380

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.55K
Realized PnL: $1.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 'Hades II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $350
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $271.25
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $38.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $34.35

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $291.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $240
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$6.03

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $30.45
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $179.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$25.15

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.41
Potential profit: $204.41
User PnL: -$44.73

Yes position

Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$37.2

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 9 straight weeks?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $179.08
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $10.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $86.4
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $93.6
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $62.14

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $177.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $173.07
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $89.55
Potential payout: $175.59
Potential profit: $86.04
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$16.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.92

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.86

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.6

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.6

Yes position

Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.6

No position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.6

Yes position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.35

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.3

No position

Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.45

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.45

Yes position

Will $MELANIA FDV be $1-3b on Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.3

Yes position

Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.03

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.55

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 19?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.1

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.56

Yes position

Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?

Ends Feb 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.3

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.9

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.87

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.19

Yes position

Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.88

No position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 9% 41.11 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 57% 25 shares
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No 75% 100 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 82% 50 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 82% 50 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 4.5% 180 shares
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 1% 300 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 89% 100 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 27% 30 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 4.9% 24.99 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 11% 60 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 27% 40 shares