Polymarket Trader

SGG4

0xac9ad09b1e6143289c57226a03e220d439ca2286

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $671.91
Potential payout: $878.31
Potential profit: $206.4
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $83.44

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $392.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $107.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $56.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $43.51
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $98.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $297.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.9

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.99

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.2

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.29

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.01

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.44

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.7

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $29.64

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

No 99% 700 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

No 49% 50 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

No 54% 50 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

No 95.1% 300 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

No 95.1% 500 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 99.99 shares
Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Saudi Arabia 68% 99.99 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 99.99 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Under 56% 40 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Under 69% 50 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 58% 50 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 99% 50 shares