Thank-you-smile

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $234.19
Potential payout: $459.19
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $188.27

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $18.04
Potential payout: $364.55
Potential profit: $346.5
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $62.85
Potential payout: $246.46
Potential profit: $183.61
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $31.21

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $112.21
Potential payout: $213.73
Potential profit: $101.52
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $91.93

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of June?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.71
Potential payout: $203.05
Potential profit: $194.34
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $18.22
Potential payout: $158.41
Potential profit: $140.2
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in June?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $38.54
Potential payout: $151.13
Potential profit: $112.59
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $15.87

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $57.35
Potential payout: $150.91
Potential profit: $93.56
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $30.26

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 45.9%
Current value: $62.62
Potential payout: $136.44
Potential profit: $73.81
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: $53.08

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.19
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $19.1
Potential payout: $117.89
Potential profit: $98.79
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $14.21
Potential payout: $113.68
Potential profit: $99.47
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $108.37
Potential profit: $98.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.00 on June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $6.99
Potential payout: $95.06
Potential profit: $88.07
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $6.32
Potential payout: $79.05
Potential profit: $72.73
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $15.79
Potential payout: $70.16
Potential profit: $54.37
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $66.74
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $57.67
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $61.88
Potential profit: $59.43
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$6.46

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.6
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.1

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in June?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $30.04

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.15

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in June?

Implied probability: 74.1%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 8 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $210?