Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xaCA5F33A22D079681C97543b4a69216bC07Fa55E-1773688832672
0xaca5f33a22d079681c97543b4a69216bc07fa55e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.78
- Realized PnL
- $1.61
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $3.46
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 36% 2.78 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 28.9% 3.46 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 70% 2.32 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?Yes 42% 2.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 99.9% 1.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 94% 1.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 2% 2.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 48% 2.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 54% 1.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 52% 1.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 24% 4.11 shares