Polymarket Trader

xiaohugege

0xacaff47fe67229179b3e7409ba3de84d153c1f47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.18
Realized PnL: $160.08
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$39.99

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.89

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $68.27
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$22.94

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $99.21
Potential payout: $901.88
Potential profit: $802.67
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $779.97
Potential profit: $778.02
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.76
Potential payout: $578.09
Potential profit: $574.33
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$1.96

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $38.1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.85

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 11.3% 901.88 shares
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

Up 27% 31.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

Up 14% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

Up 24% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

Up 30% 27.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

Up 37% 27.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Down 35% 25.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Down 54% 9.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Down 61% 16.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Down 52% 19.23 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 4.6% 109.02 shares