Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $518.05
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $572.59
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Polymarket Trader
0xacB8E83c139e79AdDe569C76585Bc3355da22E03-1775735812537
0xacb8e83c139e79adde569c76585bc3355da22e03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $540.36
- Realized PnL
- $404.24
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $554.93
- Potential profit
- $554.93
- User PnL
- -$277.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $22.3
- Potential payout
- $262.41
- Potential profit
- $240.1
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$42.7
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.92
- Potential profit
- $246.92
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.92
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.88
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $67.39
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.51
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.86
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24.8% 262.4 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 32% 184.97 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 36% 194.44 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 55% 545.45 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 94% 390.84 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 58% 103.45 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 61.8% 485.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 731.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 37.1% 577.86 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 74.4% 268.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 61% 327.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55.7% 358.93 shares