Polymarket Trader

0xaCbd8161BB2a3636FC2c04c1c59104392b8B61e3-1776231577875

0xacbd8161bb2a3636fc2c04c1c59104392b8b61e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.96
Realized PnL: -$10.26
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $23.27K
User PnL: -$23.27

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949.32
Potential profit: $949.32
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.05
Potential profit: $475.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.72
Potential profit: $316.72
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.53
Potential profit: $162.53
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $151.44
Potential profit: $145.76
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.47
Potential profit: $104.47
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.41
Potential profit: $86.41
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $80.98
Potential profit: $80.7
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.65
Potential profit: $43.65
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.09
Potential profit: $37.09
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.36
Potential profit: $31.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.74
Potential profit: $29.74
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Trump post "Lisa" this week on Truth Social?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

No 7% 3.44 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 0.1% 19,000 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 0.1% 12,270 shares
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 59% 5.98 shares
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

No 29% 3.45 shares
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?

No 37% 2.62 shares
Will Trump post "Lisa" this week on Truth Social?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares
Will Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 31.36 shares