Polymarket Trader

Zmey.

0xacccc37f53ac6299620ea880a7556de8baeda483

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $171.52
Realized PnL: $66.68
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $389.43
Potential profit: $382.23
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$7.57

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $20.43
Potential payout: $272.41
Potential profit: $251.98
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.51

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $247.1
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $33.11
Potential payout: $204.99
Potential profit: $171.88
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $12.93
Potential payout: $172.46
Potential profit: $159.52
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $79.49
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $16.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $21.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $8.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $17.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 28.17x
User PnL: $2.94

Inner Circle Esports position

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $2.01

Esport Academy Copenhagen position

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 199.99 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 25 shares
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner

Betclic Apogee Esports 36% 6 shares
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner

Esport Academy Copenhagen 99.9% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Inner Circle Esports 99.9% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Inner Circle Esports 53% 5 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

98.5% 35.3 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

56.7% 35.3 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 17% 16.27 shares
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 60% 25 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 25 shares