Polymarket Trader

0x64710Eac4D6297AaCbB48e863e83C0a5017bA762-1783339884232

0xace0a40e94a4d58d6c9381c316e40f38e4bd9c90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.63
Realized PnL: $24.92
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $95.46
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.3
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.95
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $97.19
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $87.51
Potential profit: $79.86
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $84.36
Potential profit: $83.77
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $70.78
Potential profit: $68.06
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.07
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $57.61
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $57.42
Potential profit: $55.44
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $54.09
Potential profit: $50.82
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $52.61
Potential profit: $51.24
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.15
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.48
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.46
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.05
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.28
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.87
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.9%
Multiplier: 4.57x
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Multiplier: 8.06x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Multiplier: 7.75x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Yes 40% 2.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares