No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.8
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Polymarket Trader
0xaCe3E1cD20759DBAE04AaE226111BB71Ac41F9B0-1779226113944
0xace3e1cd20759dbae04aae226111bb71ac41f9b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.65
- Realized PnL
- $229.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.92
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.92
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $29.24
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $16.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $14.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $14.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $12.67
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.86
Over position
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Over position
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Over position
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Over position
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Over position
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Over position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.1
Over position
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Over position
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Over position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Over position
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Over position
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Over position
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Over position
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Over position
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over 43% 20 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over 65% 30 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over 75% 30 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over 62% 20 shares
- Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 86.7% 30 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 82% 15 shares
- Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 41% 20 shares
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Over 29% 30 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 70% 20 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No 58% 25 shares