Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Polymarket Trader
bilbo-b
0xace9509ff0e2ff142e730551c7e7009e5799f74a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.49
- Realized PnL
- $9.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.67
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $798.08
Yes position
Will Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.8
East Carolina position
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.09
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.55
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Flames
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.85
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $490.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.43
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.94
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.44
Predators position
Avalanche vs. Predators
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.02
Under position
Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.57
Yes position
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.31
Over position
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.37
Yes position
Will Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.63
Blues position
Panthers vs. Blues
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.31
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.89
Avalanche position
Panthers vs. Avalanche
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.51
Over position
Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.29
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.35
Canucks position
Ducks vs. Canucks
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.75
Canadiens position
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.34
No position
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 1?Yes 3.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 1?Yes 3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 1?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 1?Yes 6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 1?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?Yes 4% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 1?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 1?Yes 13% 10 shares