No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $35K
- User PnL
- -$420
Polymarket Trader
sucuk-mit-ei
0xaceaf91ad4e59b4663fa0a9b3913fa82d4848b97
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.26K
- Realized PnL
- $11.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $22.85K
- Potential profit
- $21.04K
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $17.14K
- Potential profit
- $14.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- $631.91
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $7.15K
- Potential payout
- $8.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $657.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.74K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $285.6
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$45.59
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $780
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $634.99
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $193.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $832.79
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $32.2
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$57.36
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$486.38
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$115
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $896.06
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$206.51
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $452.13
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $117.87
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$229.99
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $135.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $225.27
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$50.73
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $331.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $668.5
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$29.5
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $135
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $865
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$235
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $984.49
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$264.5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $724.97
Yes position
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.3
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $288
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.37
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.32
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.99
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.53
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.39
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $33.5
No position
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?
Ends Nov 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.04
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 45% 2,500 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.6% 75 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.6% 129 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 16.1% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15.9% 1,151 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15% 113.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 10.9% 8,132.59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 10.8% 2,742.59 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.8% 1,526.24 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 21% 4,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.1% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.9% 448.71 shares