Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- User PnL
- -$141.24
Polymarket Trader
RoyBatty1701
0xacf3650efca675c127cb24969c31253898f6132f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.54
- Realized PnL
- $4.49
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $79.49
- Potential payout
- $635.93
- Potential profit
- $556.44
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$121.84
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.27
- Potential profit
- $78.27
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.4
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.52
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 14.2% 132.45 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 7.5% 127.39 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 8% 7.04 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 8% 125.79 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 7.7% 94.68 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 6% 135.13 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 7.3% 44.98 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 5.3% 0.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 7% 73.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 95.6% 6 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 5.5% 25.36 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Yes 12.3% 75.43 shares