Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $260.26
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Polymarket Trader
stuartmcdo
0xad0004c261ac99c8b394a0bfbd3bdf2da21b83ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $475.67
- Realized PnL
- $806.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $170.97
- Potential payout
- $197.66
- Potential profit
- $26.68
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $52.83
- Potential profit
- $48.34
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$31.09
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $22.95
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $35.64
- Potential profit
- $31.72
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $35.44
- Potential profit
- $12.23
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $33.54
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $27.83
- Potential payout
- $32.74
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $29.9
- Potential payout
- $32.68
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $32.29
- Potential profit
- $29.39
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $25.41
- Potential payout
- $31.96
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $26.56
- Potential payout
- $28.49
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $24.57
- Potential payout
- $28.41
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $20.65
- Potential profit
- $13.94
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $17.15
- Potential profit
- $16.41
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.3%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $13.91
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $13.45
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $10.72
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.8
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.97
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.18
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.39
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.69
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.52
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.31
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.02
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 59.9% 2.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No 48% 20.65 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 33% 13.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 87.8% 28.49 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 28% 33.54 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 87.8% 113.78 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 82% 18.52 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 77% 31.96 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes 79% 5.84 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Yes 86% 5.81 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 88% 28.41 shares