Polymarket Trader

0xaD0C2110eA754B93Bd9C45863dEeAFCeDf4FDf3C-1760897022061

0xad0c2110ea754b93bd9c45863deeafcedf4fdf3c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $901.71
Realized PnL: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$45.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $696.88
Potential profit: $696.88
User PnL: -$515.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$226.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.2
Potential profit: $403.2
User PnL: -$72.67

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $384.81
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $15.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.64
Potential profit: $352.64
User PnL: -$216.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$22.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$34.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.89
Potential profit: $227.89
User PnL: -$76.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$15.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$26.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $100.04
User PnL: -$20.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.51
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $20.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $92.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$70.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $85.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $90.74
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$73.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.09

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.3

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.74

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 7.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 17% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 36% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 17.7% 94.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 5.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 19.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 29% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 200.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 11.1% 66.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 83.2% 10 shares