Polymarket Trader

zero1

@enszhang

0xad0d3ab07ede910eb728b9b2c6a2925f8ffb30bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $792.47
Realized PnL: $1.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$786

No position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $364.53
Potential payout: $394.09
Potential profit: $29.56
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $134.53

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $303.37
Potential payout: $321.2
Potential profit: $17.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.17
Potential profit: $294.17
User PnL: -$70

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278
Potential profit: $278
User PnL: -$74

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.19
Potential profit: $189.19
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$6

No position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.4
Potential profit: $178.4
User PnL: -$130.23

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.42
Potential profit: $174.42
User PnL: -$150

Top Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.04
Potential profit: $167.04
User PnL: -$43.43

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $161.29
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.92
Potential profit: $151.92
User PnL: -$36.46

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.34
Potential profit: $146.34
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $141.07
Potential profit: $141
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.93

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $115.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $3.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$100

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.75
Potential profit: $118.75
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $16.28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.7
Potential profit: $115.7
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.09
Potential profit: $107.09
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.26
Potential profit: $97.26
User PnL: -$71

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.57

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.13

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.61

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.55

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.81

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.85

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.99

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.88

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.17

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.91

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.65

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?

Yes 84.5% 60.35 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 73% 97.26 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.1% 20.18 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.7% 10.13 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 76% 131.58 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 26.5 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 46% 43.48 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Team WE 99.9% 20 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Team WE 15% 20 shares
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 80% 3.75 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 55% 72.73 shares