Polymarket Trader

Updoge

0xad117691f5cbc4f3fcdb2d57a74a5f211942a223

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $287.97
Realized PnL: $2.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$520

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$188.32

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$840.95

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393
Potential profit: $393
User PnL: -$163.17

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$172.3

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $235.24
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $33.76
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$9.55

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.53
Potential profit: $244.53
User PnL: -$121.66

Yes position

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$41.4

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$189.03

Yes position

Was Milei hacked?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

2024 July hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.03
Potential profit: $141.03
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.7
Potential profit: $103.7
User PnL: -$80.34

No position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$44

No position

Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$81

No position

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$98.3

No position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25.7

No position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$41.44

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will the Greens be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$3.12

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $52.73
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $13.27
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$5.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $650.08

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.93

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.06

No position

Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.25

No position

$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.32

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.9

Yes position

Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.97

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.87

No position

Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.76

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.75

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.51

No position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

Yes position

Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.41

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.58

No position

Will less than 100k jobs be added in February?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.3

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

No 78.5% 64.7 shares
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

No 44% 100 shares
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Yes 94% 222 shares
Iran Nuke in 2025?

No 98.7% 500 shares
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

No 99.8% 55 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Yes 59% 44 shares
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Yes 59% 111 shares
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

No 92.6% 8.01 shares
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?

No 98.8% 20.2 shares
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Yes 35.8% 2.69 shares
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Yes 92.9% 444 shares
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?

No 85% 299 shares