Polymarket Trader

Peter12345

0xad14005b3eecfcfad3c7caa971f11f8d550ece36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.33K
Realized PnL: $64.51K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $33.73K
Potential profit: $32.4K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$590.25

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.61K
Potential profit: $28.61K
User PnL: -$10.91K

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22K
Potential profit: $22.22K
User PnL: -$233.08

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.92K
Potential profit: $15.92K
User PnL: -$3.65K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$2.04K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.6K

No position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$2.25K

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.99K
User PnL: -$2.2K

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
User PnL: -$147.6

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$800

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$478.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.99
User PnL: -$96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$288

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.92
Potential profit: $399.92
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$155

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $299.97
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.97
Potential profit: $298.97
User PnL: -$134.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$21.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.03
Potential profit: $203.03
User PnL: -$89.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.5
Potential profit: $199.5
User PnL: -$31.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5K

Yes position

Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16K

Yes position

WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $824.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.99

No position

NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44.91

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$107.3

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$205.11

No position

Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$271.96

Yes position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$274.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$355.46

Yes position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$976.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.99K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 33,728.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 99% 360 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 2% 46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 16% 110.16 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 2% 299.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 45% 65.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Up 99% 156.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Up 63% 156.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Up 44% 203.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Down 99% 90.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Down 45.6% 90.75 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 15% 12,050.85 shares