Yes position
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $58.56
- Potential payout
- $10.65K
- Potential profit
- $10.59K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $46.49
Polymarket Trader
betsmallwinbig
0xad1626923525651eb3d59e86e9850e7249bb6de3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.15
- Realized PnL
- $12.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $65.78
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $33.51
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.66
- Potential payout
- $739.56
- Potential profit
- $732.9
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $17.79
- Potential payout
- $241.98
- Potential profit
- $224.19
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Ilya "m0NESY" Osipov win the HLTV Player of the Year award?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.63
- Potential profit
- $75.63
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$10.08
Under position
FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.55
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.01
- Potential profit
- $14.01
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.1%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31K
Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.15
Yes position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (October 13 - 19)
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.94
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Russia / Ukraine" 5+ times during Merz events on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will Nuno Mendes be named UEFA Nations League Final Player of the Match?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $12.46
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
UEFA Nations League Final: Will Ronaldo score 1+ goals against Spain?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Silk Road" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Italy win on 2025-09-05?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 3.6% 20 shares
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.5% 1,235 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 0.1% 400 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 0.1% 1,479.24 shares
- Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.3% 224.23 shares
- Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?No 60.1% 118.62 shares
- Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 4.2% 45 shares
- Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 5.1% 70 shares
- Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 4.2% 281.41 shares
- Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 6.6% 189.79 shares
- Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 3.9% 149.69 shares
- Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 3.8% 678.49 shares