No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $801.48
- Potential profit
- $801.48
- User PnL
- -$257.47
Polymarket Trader
goldenpath545
0xad1bdc76a803047b5828a7a1fe98b523ba8d1d65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $51.4
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $363.17
- Potential payout
- $416
- Potential profit
- $52.83
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $9.81
N
No position
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $241.8
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $68.2
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$34.28
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $212.24
- Potential payout
- $292.74
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $144.9
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $85.1
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $160.03
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.63
N
No position
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $121.56
- Potential payout
- $162.08
- Potential profit
- $40.52
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $6.68
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $111.38
- Potential payout
- $140.99
- Potential profit
- $29.61
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$17.6
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $128.1
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Manuel Neuer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $118.41
- Potential payout
- $127.32
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $92.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
N
No position
Will Senegal finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $79.33
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $15.67
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$10.62
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$42.1
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $61.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.65
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $58.33
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.69
N
No position
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $36.72
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $28.28
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $49.6
- Potential payout
- $57.68
- Potential profit
- $8.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44.07
- Potential payout
- $50.08
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $34.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $42.04
- Potential payout
- $47.5
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.4%
- Current value
- $25.17
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $4.01
N
No position
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3.6
N
No position
Will Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
N
No position
Will Qatar be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.08
N
No position
Will Germany finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Morocco finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 9.99 shares
- Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.7% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 50% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 81% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 80% 17.5 shares
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over 84% 10 shares
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under 78% 5 shares
- Germany to win the second half?Yes 46% 7.42 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 56% 10 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 82% 10 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 85% 10 shares