Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $16.29
- Potential payout
- $761.04
- Potential profit
- $744.76
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Polymarket Trader
Hivetournament
0xad2c83a18537bf3cab4a17efa2c8d5a23074694f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $237.13
- Realized PnL
- $139.06
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.4%
- Current value
- $190.32
- Potential payout
- $217.88
- Potential profit
- $27.56
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$47
Y
Yes position
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $30.53
- Potential payout
- $59.28
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$20.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.86
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.6
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $26.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.42
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Y
Yes position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$20.39
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?Yes 98% 5 shares
- FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?Yes 98% 50 shares
- Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?Yes 39.9% 47.5 shares
- FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?Yes 94.5% 60 shares
- FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?Yes 71% 5 shares
- FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?Yes 70.9% 158.01 shares
- Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Yes 87.7% 190.35 shares
- Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Yes 89.6% 245.43 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 80.5% 20.01 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 91.1% 54.87 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 83% 26.81 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 91.4% 87 shares