n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $55.34
Potential payout: $15.81K
Potential profit: $15.76K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $520.19
Potential payout: $12.84K
Potential profit: $12.32K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$717.88

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.11K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $21.11
Potential payout: $8.44K
Potential profit: $8.42K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $49.75
Potential payout: $8.29K
Potential profit: $8.24K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$279.77

Yes position

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $7.76K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.13

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $9.34
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $6.21K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.54

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $28.37
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.13K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $15.69
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $377.71
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.07K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$112.18

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $786.6
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $152.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $788.22
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$52.77

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $15.94
Potential payout: $3.54K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $11.61
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.27
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$90.74

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $490.68
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $53.69

Yes position

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.39
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$100.25

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $18.39
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $11.72

Yes position

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $820.15
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $408.32

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$127.38

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$102.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07K

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.06K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.98K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Other be the #1 searched song on Google this year?