Polymarket Trader

yarj0x

@yarj0x

0xad58372e6124a1b5ac3e0a9b12a4ed2b1cad7624

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.77K
Realized PnL: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $56.25
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.44K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$43.75

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $71.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.93K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.92K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $96.25
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $7.6K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $82.15
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.22K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$18.55

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $73.63
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$26.13

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $101.68
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.05K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $115.99
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $16.03

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $74.11
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$25.91

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $130.56
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $980.56
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $30.56

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $67.43
Potential payout: $917.43
Potential profit: $850
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$32.57

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $115.08
Potential payout: $917
Potential profit: $801.92
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $114.57
Potential payout: $621
Potential profit: $506.43
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $14.59

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $80.29
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $507.94
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$19.71

Yes position

Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $186.89
Potential payout: $289.75
Potential profit: $102.86
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$13.99

Yes position

Will Kevin Castaño be in Colombia's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $255
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Maxence Lacroix be in France's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.67
Potential profit: $246.67
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will Juan Portilla be in Colombia's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.46
Potential profit: $214.46
User PnL: -$11.01

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $164.85
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $45.15
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.66
Potential profit: $207.66
User PnL: -$8.13

Yes position

Will Robin Risser be in France's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 79.1%
Current value: $158.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Ivan Toney be in England's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.83
Potential profit: $195.83
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Lucas Hernandez be in France's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.98
Potential profit: $194.98
User PnL: -$2.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Texas Tech Red Raiders position

Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.79

Connecticut Huskies position

UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.21

Baltimore Orioles position

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.56

Yes position

Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rui Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Yes 1% 15 shares
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Yes 5% 140.69 shares
Will João Cancelo be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Yes 95% 25 shares
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Yes 1.8% 55.95 shares
Will João Cancelo be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Yes 95% 23.3 shares
Will Australia be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 6 shares
Will James Rodríguez be in Colombia's Starting 11?

No 6% 20 shares
Will Dayot Upamecano be in France's Starting 11?

No 1.6% 39.4 shares
Will Mike Maignan be in France's Starting 11?

No 0.8% 159.18 shares
Will Francisco Conceição be in Portugal's Starting 11?

No 68.4% 7 shares
Will Kevin De Bruyne be in Belgium's Starting 11?

No 1.2% 50 shares
Will Borja Iglesias be in Spain's Starting 11?

Yes 1.4% 50 shares