iraa3

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $34.49K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $507.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $427.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $33.76K
Potential payout: $34.32K
Potential profit: $566.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $508.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $20.15K
Potential payout: $20.45K
Potential profit: $296.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $128.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $18.28K
Potential payout: $18.57K
Potential profit: $287.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $3.64K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.8K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.53K
Potential profit: $131.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $188.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $175.46
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $131.07
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.98

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $168
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $168

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $30

No position

Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $80.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $34.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.24

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $878.02
Potential payout: $881.1
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: $26.95

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $747.05
Potential payout: $760.74
Potential profit: $13.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $29.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $683.22
Potential payout: $700.02
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $600.86
Potential payout: $612.81
Potential profit: $11.95
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $501.29
Potential payout: $511.78
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $477.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $357
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $55.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $344.6
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $55.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $344.6
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $369
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $2.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $223.16

No position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.7

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $165.72

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $154.5

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.75

No position

Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.75

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.43

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $124.2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $107.93

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.04

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.8

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $55.21

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.36

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $46

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.84

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.58

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.66

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.59

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $35.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?