Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $21.44
- Potential payout
- $28.21
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Polymarket Trader
Shadowpath
0xad6a8cf79a3453db0bd7ab6c35fa199d5b656763
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.44
- Realized PnL
- $25.16
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Joselyne Edwards position
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.23x
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 78% 28.21 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 45% 2,288.89 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.7% 618.75 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 618.76 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 81% 146.34 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 146.34 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 91.6% 10 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)Joselyne Edwards 32% 26.45 shares