jipeng

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $117.68
Potential payout: $125.86
Potential profit: $8.18
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $96.04
Potential payout: $115.02
Potential profit: $18.98
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$4.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $105.46
Potential payout: $111.07
Potential profit: $5.61
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $100.05
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $12.34
Potential payout: $53.66
Potential profit: $41.32
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$22.66

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $42.14
Potential payout: $47.35
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $43.2
Potential payout: $44.79
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $42.65
Potential payout: $42.67
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $24.86
Potential payout: $41.1
Potential profit: $16.23
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$5.14

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $33.89
Potential payout: $34.08
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $32.69
Potential payout: $32.91
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $18.06
Potential payout: $31.97
Potential profit: $13.91
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $23.24
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $20.22
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $22.09
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $20.03
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$18.53

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $20.36
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $21.25
Potential profit: $21.08
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $17.82
Potential payout: $21.21
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$2.18

No position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $20.6
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.74
Potential payout: $20.75
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.67
Potential payout: $20.7
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.61
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Microsoft dip to $330 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

No position

Will Tesla dip to $300 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will Tesla dip to $375 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Tesla dip to $345 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $360 before 2026??

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026??

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will Meta dip to $500 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $430 before 2026??