N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $189.99
- Potential profit
- $187.43
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$165.77
Polymarket Trader
ffdfff
0xad76f80b39bfc02d0bd30b2f50a11b5728b95863
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.56
- Realized PnL
- $40.41
- Win rate
- 70.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.73
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 94.5% 105.84 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 95% 154.89 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 90% 137.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?No 99.9% 123.68 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?No 92% 123.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 113.9 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 91.7% 119.75 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.1% 119.75 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 108.43 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 55.93 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95.1% 29.63 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 52.5 shares