Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0xada0...8e34
0xada0a8611a99805222ce55f61966e928b4f38e34
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$0.35
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 6 shares