No position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
Augustne
0xada2b7bfbf779ff0d0a34d927b083c07dce43c6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.5K
- Realized PnL
- $62.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $71.57
- Potential payout
- $71.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $41.33
- Potential payout
- $41.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.11
- Potential payout
- $22.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $12.66
- Potential payout
- $15.73
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No 99.2% 71.57 shares
- Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Yes 89% 15.73 shares
- Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,365.56 shares
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 1,396.37 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 96.4% 28 shares
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 1,396.38 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,424.27 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.2% 41.33 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 95% 22.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.7% 1,424.27 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.6% 1,471.41 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 1,471.41 shares