979216

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $815.55
Potential profit: $815.55
User PnL: -$19.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$100

Leeds United FC position

Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $161.29
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.76
Potential profit: $104.76
User PnL: -$26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $81.52
Potential profit: $62.93
Multiplier: 4.39x
User PnL: $8.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.04
Potential profit: $59.04
User PnL: -$32.12

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $46.95
Potential profit: $37.68
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $44.78
Potential profit: $44.67
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.89

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.15
Potential profit: $37.15
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $37.06
Potential profit: $35.58
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$18.52

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.2
Potential profit: $32.2
User PnL: -$10

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.83
Potential profit: $31.83
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.45
Potential profit: $31.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $13.58
Potential profit: $12.06
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: -$8.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.86

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.63

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET