Polymarket Trader

BearJew

0xada377ece5621d04f8180d40efb794a62c6bd204

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.75
Realized PnL: -$4.9
Win rate: 60.9%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $113.75
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$461.25

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.12

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.24

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.11

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.77

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.44

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.41

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.21

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.43

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.71

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$95.81

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$213.46

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$626.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 166.67 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 25,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 4% 1,538.52 shares