Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $931.39K
- Potential payout
- $932.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- $20.97K
Polymarket Trader
BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate
0xadc2efbf97ce7b25f7a638aabdba196c657cd1c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.44M
- Realized PnL
- $125.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $394.16K
- Potential payout
- $394.35K
- Potential profit
- $197.18
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $113.3K
- Potential payout
- $113.35K
- Potential profit
- $56.68
- User PnL
- $716.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.3K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31K
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.96
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $830.6
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.84
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.09
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.89
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.6
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.72
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.67
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.28
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $451.83
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.18
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.93
Yes position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.12
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.42
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.41
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.52
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $153.07
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 9,600.48 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.9% 7,168.23 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 22,083.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 111,190.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 6,847.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 7,243.3 shares