No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $962.53
- Potential payout
- $998.99
- Potential profit
- $36.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
jiusanliu
0xadd799df2ce4bc16e427276a6171caf304321421
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $967.52
- Realized PnL
- $12.83
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.9% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 99.7% 5 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No 82% 5 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?No 86% 5 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?No 93% 5 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?No 80% 5 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 83% 5 shares